Which of the simulated crowds best match that seen by drone today? If 3.5 persons/sq m, then we're talking about 28,500 people on Central for No Kings 2.
And finally, my CrowdMap polygon, refined to include the crowded sidewalks near 2nd St.
This item https://ash.harvard.edu/resources/the-resistance-reaches-into-trump-country/
from Harvard's Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation
published on the 16th would have estimated the turnout today to be [ABQ
metro population] * 0.65% protesters. That would've been 5953 if the
metro pop. is 916,000. We easily tripled that value with my low-end
estimate, which means we're turning out 1.95% of the population. My
middle-of-the-road estimate of 24,000 puts us at 4x or 2.65%. That
means the magic 3.5% isn't out of reach.
After the June 14th No KIngs, it took until August 12th for a solid analysis to come out -- https://wagingnonviolence.org/2025/08/new-data-shows-no-kings-was-one-of-the-largest-days-of-protest-in-us-history/. I look forward to their deep dive into numbers from yesterday.
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